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Daily FX Focus

21 November 2024

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.1340 / 7.3162 ⬇

vs HKD 1.0641 / 1.0900

CNH ended lower against the US dollar yesterday as USD strengthened broadly. The PBOC set the midpoint rate around which the yuan is allowed to trade in a 2% band, at 7.1935 per dollar, 451 pips firmer than a Reuters' estimate. USDCNH rose 0.20% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.07 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0380 / 1.0821 ⬇

vs HKD 8.0843 / 8.4138

EUR ended weaker against the dollar yesterday after touching a 5-session high as the USD strengthened against a basket of currencies amid escalating geopolitical tensions while investors focused on Fed's and ECB's policy paths. EURUSD fell 0.49% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.20 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2480 / 1.2933 ⬇

vs HKD 9.7218 / 10.0549

GBP ended weaker against a broadly stronger US dollar yesterday. The sterling weakened after data showed UK consumer inflation in Oct accelerated, supporting the view that BoE will lower rates gradually in the coming months. GBPUSD fell 0.24% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.84 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6399 / 0.6647 ⬇

vs HKD 4.9831 / 5.1685

AUD ended lower against a firmer US dollar yesterday. Minutes of RBA last meeting showed it was still vigilant to upside inflation risks. Markets see only a 37% chance of a rate cut in Feb and a 58% chance in Apr. AUDUSD fell 0.40% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.06 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5794 / 0.5997 ⬇

vs HKD 4.5119 / 4.6627

NZD ended lower against the US dollar yesterday on broad USD strengthening. Focus will be on RBNZ's meeting next week where it is widely expected to cut current rate of 4.75% by 50 bps. NZDUSD fell 0.59% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.57 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3826 / 1.4111 ⬇

vs HKD 5.5167 / 5.6210

CAD weakened against the US dollar yesterday, pulling back from a one-week high as the USD strengthened across the board. A fall in oil prices due to strong US supplies also weighed on CAD. USDCAD rose 0.14% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.56 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 152.22 / 157.69 ⬇

vs HKD 4.9357 / 5.1078

JPY fell against the dollar yesterday as the broad USD strengthened and US treasury yields rose. The yen has fallen as much as 9% since the beginning of Oct, fell below 156 last week sparking possibility of intervention. USDJPY rose 0.50% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.01 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8662 / 0.8966 ⬇

vs HKD 8.6752 / 8.9733

CHF ended lower against the dollar yesterday, giving up gains from earlier in the day when escalating geopolitical tensions sent safe-haven assets higher, however faded after comments from Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov. USDCHF rose 0.20% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.80 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3206 / 1.3565 ⬇

vs HKD 5.7360 / 5.8848

SGD ended lower against the US dollar yesterday as the USD rose against major peers and US treasury yields rose. Investors are focusing on clarity over Trump's policies and next round of jobs and inflation data. USDSGD rose 0.37% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.79 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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