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Daily FX Focus

23 May 2025

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.1706 / 7.2454 ⬆

vs HKD 1.0755 / 1.0925

CNH ended flat against the dollar yesterday despite a broad based strengthening in the USD. The People's Bank of China's unwavering stance to keep the yuan relatively stable has increased its appeal while China pledges to ease monetary policy further. USDCNH rose 0.00% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.08 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.1102 / 1.1419 ⬆

vs HKD 8.6671 / 8.9442

EUR ended weaker against the dollar yesterday after Eurozone business activity unexpectedly contracted in May as the bloc's dominant services industry suffered a deeper downturn in demand while manufacturing showed further signs of stabilization. EURUSD fell 0.44% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.82 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3212 / 1.3543 ⬆

vs HKD 10.3097 / 10.6167

GBP ended nearly unchanged, ending marginally lower against the US dollar yesterday. Focus moves to the final key data release this week - UK retail sales for Apr data due later today which is expected to show a third consecutive monthly decline. GBPUSD fell 0.01% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.50 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6339 / 0.6498 ⬆

vs HKD 4.9545 / 5.0756

AUD ended lower against the US dollar yesterday as soft PMI reinforces RBA dovishness. The composite PMI dipped 0.4 points to a three-month low at 50.6, the services PMI dropped 0.5 points to a six-month low at 50.5. AUDUSD fell 0.39% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.01 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5821 / 0.5999 ➡

vs HKD 4.5561 / 4.6748

NZD ended weaker against the US dollar yesterday after NZ budget release. The government emphasized fiscal prudence and forecast a narrower budget deficit for the fiscal year ending June 2025, lifting bets for more rate cuts by the RBNZ. NZDUSD fell 0.67% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.61 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3730 / 1.3998 ⬆

vs HKD 5.5812 / 5.6914

CAD ended almost flat, ending marginally higher against the US dollar yesterday. Focus moves to Canadian retail sales data for March due later today that could offer further clues on prospects of the Bank of Canada remaining on hold. USDCAD fell 0.02% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.64 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 141.35 / 147.66 ⬆

vs HKD 5.2901 / 5.5297

JPY ended lower against the US dollar yesterday, snapping a three session long streak of gains amid profit taking before weekend. Data by Japan Statistics Bureau showed Japan’s National CPI climbed 3.6 % YoY in April, Core CPI rose more than expected. USDJPY rose 0.23% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.43 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8055 / 0.8499 ⬆

vs HKD 9.2398 / 9.5846

CHF ended weaker against the US dollar yesterday as the USD strengthened broadly after the House of Representatives passed Trump's bill for huge tax and spending cuts while business activity picked up and weekly jobless claims fell. USDCHF rose 0.42% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 9.44 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2825 / 1.3054 ⬆

vs HKD 5.9760 / 6.1064

5.7429 / 5.8262

SGD ended weaker against the US dollar yesterday. Government data showed Singapore's economy grew by 3.9% in the first quarter of 2025 from a year earlier, slightly higher than an official advance estimate of 3.8% released last month. USDSGD rose 0.29% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 6.05 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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